Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.184492 0.213623 0.245842 0.284120 0.328364 0.377909 0.437622
2025-08-31 0.137369 0.176043 0.223281 0.285236 0.364402 0.462256 0.592558
2025-09-07 0.113227 0.155654 0.211161 0.289120 0.395895 0.537212 0.738845
2025-09-14 0.093728 0.136443 0.195545 0.283323 0.410554 0.588601 0.857384
2025-09-21 0.080307 0.122851 0.184641 0.280964 0.427606 0.642974 0.984390
2025-09-28 0.071118 0.113733 0.178368 0.283591 0.450976 0.707667 1.132807
2025-10-05 0.066267 0.110359 0.179940 0.297789 0.492936 0.804259 1.340938
2025-10-12 0.061225 0.105863 0.178935 0.307323 0.527972 0.893088 1.546278
2025-10-19 0.056526 0.101231 0.176967 0.314682 0.559737 0.979351 1.756548
2025-10-26 0.051731 0.095763 0.172809 0.317517 0.583595 1.054143 1.954682
2025-11-02 0.046616 0.089046 0.165601 0.313869 0.595107 1.107913 2.120285
2025-11-09 0.041237 0.081163 0.155336 0.303256 0.592276 1.134864 2.238227
2025-11-16 0.038608 0.078301 0.154229 0.310155 0.623997 1.230641 2.501418
2025-11-23 0.035561 0.074256 0.150413 0.311338 0.644744 1.307789 2.737439
2025-11-30 0.033188 0.071270 0.148294 0.315578 0.671912 1.400163 3.014602
2025-12-07 0.030034 0.066262 0.141491 0.309249 0.676285 1.446397 3.199936
2025-12-14 0.027578 0.062451 0.136735 0.306675 0.688230 1.509431 3.428339
2025-12-21 0.025834 0.060002 0.134601 0.309543 0.712306 1.600795 3.729715
2025-12-28 0.025230 0.060057 0.137941 0.325041 0.766427 1.763740 4.212458
2026-01-04 0.024265 0.059159 0.139030 0.335448 0.809932 1.907298 4.666379
2026-01-11 0.023199 0.057889 0.139118 0.343482 0.848684 2.043899 5.119259
2026-01-18 0.021893 0.055884 0.137255 0.346576 0.875804 2.155843 5.524515
2026-01-25 0.020275 0.052910 0.132739 0.342594 0.884945 2.225318 5.831185